Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of North Korea's involvement in Ukraine by September 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
UN sanctions • 25%
US sanctions • 25%
EU sanctions • 25%
No incident • 25%
Reports from credible international news agencies or official government statements
Story
US Warns North Korea Gains War Experience in Ukraine's Kursk Region, Enhancing Capabilities
Jan 9, 2025, 08:25 AM
The United States has issued a warning that North Korea is enhancing its war capabilities by gaining combat experience through its involvement in the conflict alongside Russia against Ukraine. According to Deputy U.S. Ambassador to the U.N. Dorothy Camille Shea, over 12,000 North Korean troops are currently deployed in Russia and have been engaging Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region since last month. Shea highlighted that North Korea is significantly benefiting from receiving Russian military equipment, technology, and experience, which is making Pyongyang more capable of waging war against its neighbors. The U.S. also expressed concerns that North Korea might leverage these improvements to promote weapons sales and military training contracts globally.
View original story
Similar markets
Increased military support • 25%
Other • 25%
No change in involvement • 25%
Withdrawal of troops • 25%
Decreased involvement • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Increased involvement • 25%
No change in involvement • 25%
Stalemate with Ukrainian forces • 25%
Significant North Korean losses • 25%
Withdrawal without significant impact • 25%
North Korea achieves military objectives • 25%
Increased troop deployment • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Other • 25%
Stalemate with current forces • 25%
Withdrawal of North Korean troops • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Peace agreement involving North Korea • 25%
Significant strategic advantage for Russia • 25%
Increased tensions with other nations • 25%
Withdrawal of North Korean troops • 25%
Minimal impact on conflict • 25%
Withdrawal of troops • 25%
Other • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Increased troop deployment • 25%
Heightened global military alert • 25%
Strengthened Russia-North Korea alliance • 25%
No significant shifts • 25%
Increased tensions with South Korea • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
UN sanctions • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Majority withdrawn • 25%
Majority captured • 25%
Majority remain • 25%
Majority casualties • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Military aid to Ukraine • 25%