Loading...
Market
What major geopolitical shifts will result from North Korean involvement in Ukraine by December 31, 2025?
2
North Korean•Ukrainian•Kursk•Russia•Ukrainian Defense Ministry•Main Intelligence Directorate•Pokrovsk
Resolution / Starting Odds
Strengthened Russia-North Korea alliance • 25%
Increased tensions with South Korea • 25%
Heightened global military alert • 25%
No significant shifts • 25%
Analysis from geopolitical experts and major international news outlets
Story
North Korean Troops Engage Ukrainian Forces in Kursk and Pokrovsk Amid Large-Scale Assaults, First Engagement in 70+ Years
Dec 14, 2024, 12:36 PM
Reports indicate that North Korean troops have engaged in combat operations against Ukrainian forces in the Kursk region of Russia. Ukrainian military sources state that these troops launched large-scale assaults, employing tactics reminiscent of a mass infantry charge across open terrain, which has been described as advantageous for machine gunners. The Ukrainian Defense Ministry's Main Intelligence Directorate has warned that North Korean military units, recently placed on high alert, are expected to participate in assaults imminently. There are conflicting reports about the exact location of these engagements, with some asserting that the North Koreans have also attacked in Pokrovsk. Video evidence has emerged purportedly showing North Korean forces in action, marking their first significant military engagement in over 70 years. Ukrainian forces claim to have destroyed entire columns of North Korean troops during these confrontations.
View original story
Similar markets
Strengthening of Russia-North Korea ties • 25%
Increased U.S. military presence in Europe • 25%
New sanctions on North Korea • 25%
No significant shift • 25%
Increased involvement • 25%
Decreased involvement • 25%
No change in involvement • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Significant reduction in troop presence • 25%
Troop presence maintained • 25%
Increase in troop presence • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Increased troop deployment • 25%
Withdrawal of troops • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Cease military involvement • 25%
North Korea withdraws troops • 25%
North Korea increases troop presence • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
North Korea withdraws troops • 25%
North Korean troops remain in Russia • 25%
North Korean troops engage in combat • 25%
North Korea increases troop numbers • 25%
Increased conflict • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Resolution or peace talks • 25%
Other developments • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Increased deployment • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other developments • 25%
Increased sanctions on North Korea • 25%
Military action against North Korea • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased sanctions on North Korea • 25%
Military intervention by international coalition • 25%
Diplomatic resolution involving North Korea • 25%
No significant change • 25%
New sanctions on North Korea • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Military aid to Ukraine • 25%
No significant action • 25%
New UN sanctions on North Korea • 25%
NATO increases military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
North Korean withdrawal • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%