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What will be the outcome of NATO's Ukraine aid coordination by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased aid and support • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Decreased aid and support • 25%
Complete cessation of aid • 25%
Reports from NATO and international news agencies
Story
NATO Takes Over Ukraine Military Aid Coordination from US, Citing Trump Concerns
Dec 17, 2024, 04:32 PM
NATO has taken over the coordination of Western military aid to Ukraine from the United States, as planned, according to a Reuters source. This move is widely seen as an effort to safeguard the support mechanism from potential disruptions by NATO skeptic Donald Trump, who is set to take office in January. The transition, which comes after a delay of several months, gives NATO a more direct role in the ongoing conflict against Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The headquarters of NATO's new mission, named NATO Security Assistance and Training for Ukraine (NSATU), is located at Clay Barracks in Wiesbaden, Germany, and is now fully operational.
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Increased security • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Deterioration in security • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
Formal membership invitation • 25%
Continued current support level • 25%
Decreased support • 25%
Ukraine joins NATO • 25%
Ukraine remains outside NATO with increased cooperation • 25%
Ukraine receives no further NATO support • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Significant increase in aid • 25%
Moderate increase in aid • 25%
No change in aid levels • 25%
Decrease in aid • 25%
Increased military involvement • 25%
Continued current support levels • 25%
Decreased involvement • 25%
Diplomatic resolution with Russia • 25%
Increased military support • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Continued status quo • 25%
Withdrawal of support • 25%
Successfully trains 1 million Ukrainians • 25%
Trains less than 1 million Ukrainians • 25%
Training program is canceled • 25%
No official confirmation of training numbers • 25%
Mission success with Ukraine regaining control • 33%
Mission ongoing with no clear outcome • 33%
Mission failure with NATO withdrawal • 33%
Increased military aid • 25%
Humanitarian aid focus • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Significant increase in defense capabilities • 25%
Moderate increase in defense capabilities • 25%
No significant change in defense capabilities • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased military support • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increase aid • 25%
Maintain current aid levels • 25%
Decrease aid • 25%
Withdraw aid • 25%