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How will NATO respond to potential Russian escalation in Ukraine by mid-2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in military presence • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Withdrawal of support • 25%
Official NATO statements or credible news reports
Story
NATO Takes Over Ukraine Military Aid Coordination from US, Citing Trump Concerns
Dec 17, 2024, 04:32 PM
NATO has taken over the coordination of Western military aid to Ukraine from the United States, as planned, according to a Reuters source. This move is widely seen as an effort to safeguard the support mechanism from potential disruptions by NATO skeptic Donald Trump, who is set to take office in January. The transition, which comes after a delay of several months, gives NATO a more direct role in the ongoing conflict against Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The headquarters of NATO's new mission, named NATO Security Assistance and Training for Ukraine (NSATU), is located at Clay Barracks in Wiesbaden, Germany, and is now fully operational.
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Increased military support to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic measures against Russia • 25%
Economic sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Intensified opposition • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
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Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Military exercises in Eastern Europe • 25%
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No response • 25%
Condemnation of Ukraine • 25%
Support for Ukraine • 25%
Call for de-escalation • 25%
No official response • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Deployment of additional troops to Eastern Europe • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
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Increase military presence in Eastern Europe • 25%
Increase diplomatic efforts • 25%
Impose new sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant action • 25%
US expelled from NATO • 25%
NATO sanctions US • 25%
US policy unchanged • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
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No significant action • 25%
Increase in military presence • 25%
Decrease in military presence • 25%
No change • 25%
New military initiatives • 25%
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Increase military presence in Eastern Europe • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 25%
No significant action • 25%