Loading...
Market
Outcome of Luigi Mangione's trial by December 31, 2025?
3
UnitedHealthcare•Brian Thompson•Hilton Midtown Hotel•Manhattan•Luigi Mangione•Ivy League•Maryland•Altoona•Pennsylvania•Mangione•New York•San Francisco•Unabomber•White House
Resolution / Starting Odds
Guilty • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Court records or official announcements regarding the trial outcome
Story
UnitedHealthcare CEO Fatally Shot Outside NYC Hotel; Suspect Arrested at Pennsylvania McDonald's
Dec 11, 2024, 11:30 AM
UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson was shot and killed outside the Hilton Midtown Hotel in Manhattan on December 4. The suspect, 26-year-old Luigi Mangione, an Ivy League graduate from a prominent Maryland family, was arrested at a McDonald's in Altoona, Pennsylvania, where a vigilant employee called the police. Mangione is opposing extradition to New York and is expected to plead not guilty, according to his attorney. Authorities believe Mangione used a 9mm 'ghost gun'—an untraceable firearm possibly assembled with 3D printing technology—to carry out the shooting. His mother had reported him missing in San Francisco in November. Mangione had posted an online manifesto expressing anger toward health insurance companies and corporate greed, and investigators are examining his possible inspiration from the Unabomber. During his court appearance in Pennsylvania, he shouted at reporters and resisted authorities. The judge denied him bail. The case has sparked a debate over the increasing availability of ghost guns, raised concerns about safety among corporate executives, and prompted the White House to condemn violence against 'corporate greed.'
View original story
Similar markets
Not guilty of murder • 25%
Mistrial or hung jury • 25%
Guilty of second-degree murder • 25%
Guilty of a lesser charge • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Guilty of lesser charge • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Plea Deal • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Other • 25%
Guilty of murder • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Other verdict • 25%
Convicted of murder • 25%
Convicted of a lesser charge • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Death Penalty • 25%
Life Imprisonment • 25%
Other Verdict • 25%
Convicted of second-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of a lesser charge • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Guilty of second-degree murder • 25%
Guilty of a lesser charge • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of lesser charges • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Mistrial or other • 25%
Guilty of murder • 25%
Manslaughter conviction • 25%
Convicted of murder • 25%
Convicted of lesser charge • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Guilty • 33%
Not Guilty • 33%
Convicted of second-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of a lesser charge • 25%
Guilty of second-degree murder • 25%
Guilty of a lesser charge • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Guilty of lesser charge • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder in furtherance of terrorism • 25%
Convicted of second-degree murder as an act of terrorism • 25%
Acquitted of all charges • 25%
Convicted of first-degree murder • 25%
Convicted of lesser charges • 25%
Guilty of murder • 25%
Not guilty of murder • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Plea deal reached • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Other • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Other • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Plea Deal • 25%
Guilty of murder • 25%
Not guilty of murder • 25%
Guilty of lesser charge • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Guilty of first-degree murder • 25%
Guilty of second-degree murder • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Plea of Guilty • 25%
Plea of Not Guilty • 25%
Plea Bargain • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Guilty of first-degree murder • 25%
Guilty of lesser charges • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Convicted of murder • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Plea deal • 25%
Other outcome • 25%