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What will be the outcome of Kamala Harris's call for a ceasefire and hostage release in Gaza by the end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire reached, hostages released • 25%
Ceasefire reached, hostages not released • 25%
No ceasefire, hostages released • 25%
No ceasefire, hostages not released • 25%
Official announcements from the Israeli government, Hamas, or major news outlets like BBC, CNN, and Reuters
Story
Kamala Harris Calls for Gaza Ceasefire, Hostage Release After Nine-Month Conflict, 44 Americans Killed
Jul 25, 2024, 10:40 PM
Vice President Kamala Harris has called for an immediate ceasefire and hostage release deal in Gaza following her meeting with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. Harris emphasized the devastating humanitarian situation in Gaza over the past nine months, stating that the suffering of the Palestinian people cannot be ignored. She reiterated that Israel has the right to defend itself but stressed that the manner in which it does so is crucial. Harris condemned Hamas, labeling it a brutal terrorist organization responsible for triggering the current conflict on October 7, which resulted in the massacre of 1,200 people, including 44 Americans. She highlighted the urgent need to secure the release of hostages, including American citizens such as Sagui Dekel-Chen, and to end the ongoing war in a way that ensures Israel's security and alleviates Palestinian suffering.
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Similar markets
Ceasefire achieved • 25%
Partial ceasefire • 25%
No ceasefire • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ceasefire with conditions • 25%
Unconditional ceasefire • 25%
No ceasefire • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful ceasefire and hostage release • 25%
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No agreement reached • 25%
Announces new policy • 25%
Reiterates current stance • 25%
Calls for international intervention • 25%
Other • 25%
Full Ceasefire and Hostage Release Agreement • 25%
Partial Agreement with Continued Negotiations • 25%
No Agreement Reached • 25%
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No • 50%
Israel fully complies • 25%
Israel partially complies • 25%
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Successful mediation • 25%
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Successful deal with all hostages released • 25%
Partial deal with some hostages released • 25%
No deal reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Successful Ceasefire • 25%
Failed Ceasefire • 25%
Ongoing Negotiations • 25%
No Talks Held • 25%