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What will be the outcome of Joe Biden's candidacy in the 2024 presidential election by November 5, 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Remains the candidate • 33%
Withdraws and endorses a successor • 33%
Withdraws without endorsing a successor • 34%
Official Democratic Party candidate list, major news outlets
Story
Four More House Democrats Urge Biden to Quit 2024 Race: NYT
Jul 19, 2024, 03:20 PM
Four more House Democrats have called on President Joe Biden to withdraw from the 2024 presidential race, according to reports from the New York Times. This brings the total number of House Democrats urging Biden to step aside to five. Some of these calls come from groups that have been staunchly loyal to the president. Despite these demands, Biden's campaign insists that he will remain the candidate.
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Similar markets
Wins the election • 25%
Loses the election • 25%
Withdraws before the election • 25%
Replaced as Democratic nominee • 25%
Remains in the race • 25%
Drops out due to health reasons • 25%
Drops out for other reasons • 25%
Other • 25%
Exits race • 33%
Stays in race • 33%
Replaced by Democratic Party • 33%
Remains in race • 33%
Withdraws from race • 33%
Replaced by another candidate • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Biden resigns before end of term • 25%
Biden remains in office until end of term • 25%
Formal impeachment proceedings initiated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Donald Trump • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Donald Trump wins • 25%
Kamala Harris wins • 25%
Other Republican wins • 25%
Other Democrat wins • 25%
Donald Trump wins • 25%
Donald Trump loses • 25%
Election results contested • 25%
Other • 25%
Biden resigns • 25%
Biden remains President • 25%
Biden temporarily transfers power to Harris • 25%
Other • 25%
Joe Biden wins • 25%
Another Democrat wins • 25%
Another Republican wins • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Kamala Harris wins • 25%
Donald Trump wins • 25%
Other candidate wins • 25%
No clear winner by Nov 6 • 25%