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What will be the outcome of Joe Biden's candidacy in the 2024 Presidential Election?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Wins the election • 25%
Loses the election • 25%
Withdraws before the election • 25%
Replaced as Democratic nominee • 25%
Official election results and announcements
Story
Biden Vows to Stay in Race in Madison, Mistakenly Claims He'll Beat Trump 'Again in 2020'
Jul 5, 2024, 08:28 PM
During a campaign rally in Madison, Wisconsin, President Joe Biden declared his intention to remain in the presidential race and expressed confidence in defeating former President Donald Trump. Biden, however, mistakenly stated that he would beat Trump 'again in 2020,' despite it being 2024. This statement has drawn significant attention and criticism, with many questioning Biden's awareness of the current year. Biden's declaration comes amid calls from key Democratic donors for him to step down as the party's presidential nominee. The rally featured a teleprompter speech where Biden emphasized his commitment to the race.
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Similar markets
Remains the candidate • 33%
Withdraws and endorses a successor • 33%
Withdraws without endorsing a successor • 34%
Remains in the race • 25%
Drops out due to health reasons • 25%
Drops out for other reasons • 25%
Other • 25%
Remains in race • 33%
Withdraws from race • 33%
Replaced by another candidate • 33%
Exits race • 33%
Stays in race • 33%
Replaced by Democratic Party • 33%
Wins the election • 25%
Loses the election • 25%
Withdraws from the race • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Donald Trump • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Donald Trump wins • 25%
Kamala Harris wins • 25%
Other Republican wins • 25%
Other Democrat wins • 25%