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What will be the outcome of Israel's potential cyber attack on Iran by March 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful attack with no retaliation • 25%
Successful attack with retaliation • 25%
Unsuccessful attack • 25%
No attack • 25%
Official statements from Israeli or Iranian governments or credible media reports
Story
Israel May Launch Cyber Attack on Iran, Tehran Warns of Retaliation if Targets Limited
Oct 14, 2024, 10:43 AM
Israel is considering a cyber attack on key Iranian facilities as part of its response to recent hostilities, according to Sky News Arabia. Iran, on the other hand, has communicated through various channels, including the United States and European countries, that it will retaliate against any new Israeli attack. However, Tehran has indicated through a Saudi news outlet and CNN that if Israel's response is limited to specific targets, it will not escalate the conflict further. This comes after Iran's massive ballistic missile attack earlier this month.
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Increased regional tensions • 25%
De-escalation of conflict • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
New peace negotiations • 25%
Successful strike with minimal fallout • 25%
Escalation into broader conflict • 25%
No significant military action taken • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Attack executed successfully • 25%
Attack aborted • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful strikes with no escalation • 25%
Strikes lead to regional escalation • 25%
Strikes are called off • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Decisive victory for Israel • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Decisive victory for Iran • 25%
Ongoing conflict without resolution • 25%
Successful retaliation • 25%
Unsuccessful retaliation • 25%
No retaliation • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Success with minimal international backlash • 25%
Success with significant international backlash • 25%
Failure with minimal international backlash • 25%
Failure with significant international backlash • 25%
Strikes conducted • 25%
Strikes planned but not executed • 25%
No strikes planned • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful strikes with no retaliation • 25%
Successful strikes with Iranian retaliation • 25%
Unsuccessful strikes • 25%
No strikes conducted • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Major conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Peace Treaty • 25%
Other • 25%
Iran victory • 25%
Israel victory • 25%
Stalemate/ceasefire • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
No escalation occurs • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Full-scale military conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%