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What will be the outcome of Israeli military operations in Iran by June 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Success with minimal international backlash • 25%
Success with significant international backlash • 25%
Failure with minimal international backlash • 25%
Failure with significant international backlash • 25%
Reports from credible international news agencies such as Reuters, BBC, or The New York Times summarizing the results of the operations
Story
Israel Plans Retaliatory Strikes on Iranian Military Targets, Including Missile and Drone Sites, Officials Say
Oct 15, 2024, 07:27 PM
Israeli officials have indicated that the country is considering a range of military targets in Iran for potential retaliatory strikes. According to reports from the New York Times, these targets may include missile and drone storage sites, military bases, key government buildings, and nuclear research laboratories. The officials noted that while Israel might avoid direct strikes on Iran's nuclear enrichment and oil facilities, it remains prepared to target a wide array of military objectives. This information comes from two Israeli officials briefed on the planning of the retaliatory strikes, highlighting the complexities of Israel's military strategy in the region.
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Decisive victory for Israel • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Decisive victory for Iran • 25%
Ongoing conflict without resolution • 25%
Successful strikes with no escalation • 25%
Strikes lead to regional escalation • 25%
Strikes are called off • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Successful strike with minimal fallout • 25%
Escalation into broader conflict • 25%
No significant military action taken • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Military Action Taken • 25%
Diplomatic Resolution • 25%
No Action Taken • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Significant financial damage to Iran • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
Escalation into broader conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Major conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Successful strike with Arab support • 25%
Unsuccessful strike • 25%
No strike occurs • 25%
Strike occurs but without Arab support • 25%
Escalation to full-scale war • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Military action taken • 25%
Diplomatic resolution reached • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Attack executed successfully • 25%
Attack aborted • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Other • 25%
Limited skirmish • 25%
Escalation to full-scale conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increased regional tensions • 25%
De-escalation of conflict • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
New peace negotiations • 25%