Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of Iranian drones monitoring American warships by October 31, 2024?
2
United States•Iran•Iranian•American•Persian Gulf•Joe Biden•Israel•Biden•Iranian missile attack•Middle East
Resolution / Starting Odds
No incidents • 25%
Minor incidents • 25%
Major incidents • 25%
Direct confrontation • 25%
Verified news reports from reputable sources such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera
Story
Biden Warns Iran Against Attacking Israel as Drones Monitor American Warships
Aug 11, 2024, 06:41 AM
Tensions between the United States and Iran have escalated, with Iranian stealth drones reportedly monitoring American warships in the Persian Gulf. U.S. President Joe Biden has issued a stern warning to Iran, advising against any attacks on Israel. This warning echoes Biden's previous remarks made shortly before an Iranian missile attack on Israel in April 2024. The situation reflects the ongoing volatility in the Middle East, as the U.S. seeks to protect its ally, Israel, amid fears of retaliation from Iran.
View original story
Similar markets
Missile attacks cease without further escalation • 25%
Missile attacks continue with limited escalation • 25%
Missile attacks lead to significant military conflict • 25%
Missile attacks lead to diplomatic resolution • 25%
Escalation to broader conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued skirmishes • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful interception • 25%
Failed interception • 25%
No interception attempt • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
UN condemns the incident • 25%
EU issues a statement • 25%
No significant international reaction • 25%
Other international reactions • 25%
No missile attack occurs • 25%
Missile attack occurs, no significant retaliation • 25%
Missile attack occurs, Israel retaliates • 25%
Missile attack occurs, U.S. retaliates • 25%
Confirmed successful • 25%
Confirmed unsuccessful • 25%
No confirmation • 25%
Denied by US • 25%
Significant damage to Iranian military infrastructure • 25%
Limited damage with minor casualties • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Escalation into broader conflict • 25%
New indictments issued • 25%
No further action taken • 25%
Iranian government implicated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
