Loading...
Market
What will be the outcome of increased Russian military activity around undersea cables by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Sabotage of cables • 25%
Increased surveillance • 25%
Diplomatic tensions • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Official statements from US government or NATO, major news agencies like CNN, BBC, Reuters
Story
US Detects Increased Russian Military Activity Around Undersea Cables, Raises Sabotage Concerns: CNN Politics, September 6, 2024
Sep 6, 2024, 12:45 PM
The United States has detected increased Russian military activity around key undersea cables and believes Russia may now be more likely to carry out potential sabotage operations targeting this critical communications infrastructure. Two US officials told CNN Politics on September 6, 2024, that any such sabotage would be considered a significant escalation in Russian aggression outside of Ukraine. The secretive Russian military unit involved in these activities raises concerns about the security of global communications.
View original story
Similar markets
US • 25%
UK • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
New military engagement • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Resolved with no tensions • 25%
Resolved with minor tensions • 25%
Ongoing significant tensions • 25%
Escalated into major conflict • 25%
Vulnerability fixed without incident • 25%
Vulnerability exploited • 25%
Vulnerability leads to policy change • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Increased communications • 25%
Decreased communications • 25%
No change • 25%
Temporary halt in communications • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Geopolitical tension • 25%
Economic disruption • 25%
Military strategy • 25%
Other motive • 25%
