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What will be determined as the primary motive for Baltic cable sabotage by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Geopolitical tension • 25%
Economic disruption • 25%
Military strategy • 25%
Other motive • 25%
Investigation reports or official announcements from NATO or involved countries
Story
Chinese Ship Yi Peng 3 Suspected of Sabotaging Baltic Cables, NATO Investigates
Nov 27, 2024, 03:31 PM
A Chinese bulk carrier, the Yi Peng 3, is suspected of deliberately severing two critical data cables in the Baltic Sea by dragging its anchor along the seabed for over 100 miles. The incident, which occurred on November 17-18, damaged cables linking Finland, Germany, Sweden, and Lithuania. The ship, loaded with Russian fertilizer, departed Russia and is now surrounded by NATO warships as part of an international probe into suspected sabotage. Investigators believe the action might have been orchestrated by the Kremlin, with the captain of the Chinese-owned vessel being a focus of the investigation.
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Sabotage confirmed • 25%
Accidental damage • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
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Sweden-Russia diplomatic resolution • 25%
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Yi Peng 3 found responsible • 25%
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Anchoring • 25%
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