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Market
Will US or NATO take military action in response to Russian activities around undersea cables by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from US government or NATO, major news agencies like CNN, BBC, Reuters
Story
US Detects Increased Russian Military Activity Around Undersea Cables, Raises Sabotage Concerns: CNN Politics, September 6, 2024
Sep 6, 2024, 12:45 PM
The United States has detected increased Russian military activity around key undersea cables and believes Russia may now be more likely to carry out potential sabotage operations targeting this critical communications infrastructure. Two US officials told CNN Politics on September 6, 2024, that any such sabotage would be considered a significant escalation in Russian aggression outside of Ukraine. The secretive Russian military unit involved in these activities raises concerns about the security of global communications.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
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Support Russia's claim • 25%
Support US's stance • 25%
Remain neutral • 25%
No official statement • 25%
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No • 50%
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