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What will be the outcome of IDF's current operation in Gaza by October 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Operation concluded with all hostages recovered • 25%
Operation concluded with some hostages recovered • 25%
Operation ongoing • 25%
Operation concluded with no hostages recovered • 25%
Official statements from the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or other credible news sources
Story
IDF Finds Bodies Believed to Be Israeli Hostages in Gaza
Aug 31, 2024, 08:17 PM
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) have announced the discovery of several bodies during an operation in the Gaza Strip. These bodies are believed to belong to at least six Israeli hostages. The IDF is currently engaged in ongoing operations in the area to extract and identify the bodies, a process that is expected to take several hours. The military has urged the public to refrain from spreading unverified rumors about the identities of the deceased until the recovery and identification process is complete.
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Successful destruction of Hamas infrastructure • 25%
Significant Hamas casualties • 25%
Civilian casualties • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant territorial gains • 25%
Minor territorial gains • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Territorial losses • 25%
Complete success • 25%
Partial success • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Operation fails • 25%
IDF declares mission accomplished • 25%
IDF faces significant resistance • 25%
Operation is prolonged beyond August • 25%
Other • 25%
Hamas leadership captured • 25%
Significant reduction in terrorist activity • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased conflict and casualties • 25%
IDF gains control of key areas • 25%
Hamas retains control • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Significant territorial gains • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Withdrawal without gains • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Significant reduction in Hamas infrastructure • 25%
Continuation of current conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Successful with no casualties • 25%
Successful with casualties • 25%
Unsuccessful with no casualties • 25%
Unsuccessful with casualties • 25%
Successful rescue of hostages • 25%
Failure to rescue hostages • 25%
Significant casualties without rescue • 25%
Operation aborted • 25%
Hamas significantly weakened • 25%
Hamas retains capabilities • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Increased hostilities • 25%