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What will be the outcome of hostage negotiations involving Edan Alexander by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
All hostages released • 25%
Some hostages released • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
Stalemate in negotiations • 25%
Official announcements from the Israeli government, U.S. State Department, or reputable news outlets
Story
Hamas Urges Trump to Secure Release of Israeli-American Hostage Edan Alexander After Over 420 Days
Nov 30, 2024, 04:40 PM
Hamas has released a video featuring Edan Alexander, a 20-year-old dual Israeli-American citizen held hostage in Gaza for over 420 days. The video, published on Hamas's Telegram channel, serves as proof of life and shows Alexander addressing President-elect Donald Trump, urging him to facilitate a hostage deal for his release. This comes amid renewed talks about a ceasefire and hostage deal. Alexander's family has authorized the video's release, highlighting the psychological warfare employed by Hamas. The video has stirred significant emotional responses and calls for action from various quarters, including Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who has spoken with Alexander's family. The video also underscores the ongoing hostage crisis, with over 100 hostages, including seven Americans, still being held in Gaza.
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Other outcome • 25%
Hostages released • 25%
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Hostages not released • 25%
Successful exchange with ceasefire • 25%
No exchange, negotiations collapse • 25%
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United States • 25%
Qatar • 25%
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Egypt • 25%
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Data Released • 25%
Ransom Paid • 25%
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No progress in negotiations • 25%
Partial release of hostages • 25%
Hostage remains in captivity • 25%
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Hostages released • 25%
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Negotiations ongoing • 25%
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Successful ceasefire and all hostages released • 25%
Negotiations postponed • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement with some hostages released • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
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All hostages released • 25%
New hostages taken • 25%