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What will be the outcome of diplomatic engagement between Finland and Russia by December 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Formal apology from Russia • 25%
Denial of violation by Russia • 25%
Bilateral talks initiated • 25%
No significant diplomatic engagement • 25%
Official statements from the Finnish and Russian governments or credible news sources
Story
Finland Suspects Russian Vessel of Territorial Violation in Gulf of Finland Today
Jul 26, 2024, 01:36 PM
Finland suspects a Russian vessel of intruding on its territorial waters without permission in the eastern parts of the Gulf of Finland today. The Finnish government confirmed the incident in a statement, noting the suspected territorial violation by the Russian ship in Finland's marine area.
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Relations improve • 25%
Relations remain unchanged • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Diplomatic break • 25%
Improvement in relations • 33%
No significant change • 33%
Deterioration in relations • 33%
Assets sold and proceeds distributed • 25%
Assets returned to Russia • 25%
Ongoing legal dispute • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Formal diplomatic break • 25%
Strengthened ties • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Strained ties • 25%
Severed ties • 25%
Ban fully implemented • 25%
Ban partially implemented • 25%
Ban rejected • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
New treaty signed • 25%
Improved relations without formal treaty • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Normalization achieved • 25%
New agreement signed • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Improved Relations • 25%
Status Quo • 25%
Deteriorated Relations • 25%
Severed Diplomatic Ties • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Further deterioration • 25%
Severance of diplomatic ties • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Military cooperation agreement • 25%
Economic cooperation agreement • 25%
No significant agreement • 25%
Other type of agreement • 25%