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What will be the outcome of diplomatic efforts post Israeli strike on Iran?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful de-escalation agreement • 25%
Ongoing tensions with no resolution • 25%
Increased military actions • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Reports from diplomatic meetings and agreements
Story
Israel More Likely to Attack Iran's Nuclear Sites Under Incoming Trump Administration, Says Netanyahu and Yadlin
Nov 21, 2024, 01:56 PM
Israel is reportedly more likely to attack Iran's nuclear sites under the incoming Trump administration, according to multiple senior defense sources and former intelligence officials. Amos Yadlin, former head of Israeli military intelligence, stated that an attack could demonstrate that 'America is leading again.' Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has indicated that Iran's nuclear bomb program is damaged and may require further action, potentially with support from President-elect Trump. A senior Israeli security official emphasized that Iran has never been more vulnerable to an attack, describing the situation as both 'necessary' and 'possible.' Though Israel did not attack Iran's nuclear program on October 26, the likelihood of such an action has increased. Reports from Washington suggest that Trump's administration may play a crucial role in this potential conflict.
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Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Calls for negotiation • 25%
Mixed response • 25%
Direct negotiations • 25%
Increased hostilities • 25%
Mediation by third party • 25%
No diplomatic efforts • 25%
UN condemnation • 25%
US condemnation • 25%
EU condemnation • 25%
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Sanctions on Israel • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Successful ceasefire • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
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Other • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Continued military conflict • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Successful de-escalation • 25%
Partial success • 25%
No impact • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Condemnation of Israel • 25%
Condemnation of Iran • 25%
Calls for peace talks • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Continued hostilities • 25%
Other diplomatic resolutions • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Increased sanctions on Iran • 25%
Increased military aid to Israel • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Successful international sanctions on Iran • 25%
Increased military tensions with Iran • 25%
New peace negotiations • 25%
No significant change • 25%