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What will be the outcome of congressional actions following the DOJ report on 2020 election interference by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Impeachment Proceedings • 25%
Formal Censure • 25%
No Action Taken • 25%
Other Outcomes • 25%
Official records from the US Congress and the DOJ
Story
DOJ Releases Report Alleging Trump Would Have Been Convicted for 2020 Election Interference if Not Re-elected
Jan 14, 2025, 12:00 PM
The US Justice Department has released Special Counsel Jack Smith's final report, which alleges that President-elect Donald Trump engaged in an 'unprecedented criminal effort' to overturn the results of the 2020 election. Smith stated that 'but for Mr. Trump's election and imminent return to the presidency, the office assessed that the admissible evidence was sufficient to obtain and sustain a conviction at trial.' The 174-page report was submitted to Congress and released early Tuesday morning. Smith emphasized that his team 'stood up for the rule of law' during the investigation.
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Unclear/Other • 25%
No significant issues found • 25%
Significant issues found • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
FBI • 25%
U.S. Congress • 25%
Department of Justice • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Conclusive evidence found • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
No evidence found • 25%
Inconclusive evidence • 25%
New regulations on vaccine transparency • 25%
Other • 25%
No legislative action • 25%
Investigations into pharmaceutical companies • 25%
Investigation concluded with no charges • 25%
No new investigation • 25%
Investigation initiated • 25%
Investigation concluded with charges • 25%
FBI criticized with recommendations • 25%
FBI exonerated • 25%
Formal action taken against FBI • 25%
FBI criticized but no action • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
New legislation introduced • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Bolsonaro found guilty • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Bolsonaro found not guilty • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Insufficient evidence • 25%
No violations found • 25%
Violations confirmed • 25%
No evidence found • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Evidence found, charges filed • 25%
Evidence found, no charges • 25%
Overturned in court • 25%
Major challenges • 25%
No challenges • 25%
Minor challenges • 25%
Report leads to policy changes • 25%
No new charges against Trump • 25%
Report has no significant impact • 25%
Trump faces new charges • 25%