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What will be the outcome of a preemptive strike on North Korean troops by Ukraine by April 30, 2025?
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Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•Western•Ukraine•North Korean•Russia•Zelensky•United States•United Kingdom•Germany•North Korea•China
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful strike • 25%
Unsuccessful strike • 25%
No strike attempted • 25%
Strike leads to escalation • 25%
Military reports and international news coverage
Story
Zelensky Urges Allies to Allow Preemptive Strikes on North Korean Troops 50km from Border in Russia
Nov 1, 2024, 09:23 PM
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has called on Western allies to provide Ukraine with long-range capabilities to preemptively strike North Korean troops gathering in Russia. In a social media post on October 31, Zelensky urged for 'concrete solutions' to support Ukraine as North Korean forces prepare to engage Ukrainian troops. Zelensky emphasized that Ukraine is aware of the locations where North Korean soldiers are being amassed, which are 50km from the border, and could act preemptively if given the necessary means. He specifically called out the United States, the United Kingdom, and Germany for their inaction, suggesting that their apathy could cost thousands of lives. Zelensky also mentioned the logistics pipeline between Russia and North Korea, urging China to act if it truly advocates for ending the war.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
North Korea achieves military objectives • 25%
Stalemate with Ukrainian forces • 25%
Significant North Korean losses • 25%
Withdrawal without significant impact • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Increased deployment • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other developments • 25%
Increased involvement • 25%
Decreased involvement • 25%
No change in involvement • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Significant reduction in troop presence • 25%
Troop presence maintained • 25%
Increase in troop presence • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Increased troop deployment • 25%
Withdrawal of troops • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Cease military involvement • 25%
Significant impact • 25%
Moderate impact • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
No engagement • 25%
Engage in combat • 25%
Remain in training • 25%
Withdraw from region • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased military support • 25%
Withdrawal of troops • 25%
No change in involvement • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant impact on conflict • 25%
Moderate impact on conflict • 25%
Minimal impact on conflict • 25%
No impact on conflict • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
North Korean troops fully withdrawn • 25%
North Korean troops remain in support of Russia • 25%
North Korean troops expand presence • 25%
Other outcome • 25%