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Market
What will be the outcome for the National Rally party in the next major election by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Victory • 25%
Second place • 25%
Third place • 25%
Fourth place or lower • 25%
Official election results
Story
French Prosecutors Investigate Marine Le Pen Over Fraud and Illegal 2022 Campaign Financing
Jul 9, 2024, 11:08 AM
French prosecutors have launched an investigation into Marine Le Pen, leader of the far-right National Rally party, over allegations of illegal financing during her 2022 presidential campaign. The Paris prosecutor's office opened the probe on July 2, 2024, focusing on suspicions that Le Pen's party misappropriated taxpayer funds from the European Parliament to support her campaign. The investigation also includes allegations of fraud, embezzlement, and forgery. This investigation comes shortly after Le Pen's party suffered a surprising defeat in recent elections, where the Socialists and Communists emerged victorious.
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Similar markets
New leader elected • 25%
Marine Le Pen remains leader • 25%
Party dissolves • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Remains leader • 25%
Resigns voluntarily • 25%
Forced to resign • 25%
Suspended temporarily • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Less than 200 • 25%
200-214 • 25%
215-230 • 25%
More than 230 • 25%
