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What will be the next significant military engagement involving Israel and Iran by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Air strikes • 25%
Naval confrontation • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Other • 25%
Credible news outlets or official statements from involved parties
Story
Israel Confirms Iranian Missiles Hit Nevatim and Tel Nof Airbases on Tuesday; Operations Unaffected
Oct 5, 2024, 05:51 PM
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have confirmed for the first time that Iranian missile attacks on Tuesday targeted two of its air force bases, Nevatim and Tel Nof. Despite the strikes, which did not hit any aircraft, both bases remain fully operational. The confirmation comes after the bases suffered hits from Iranian missiles, but the IDF emphasized that operations have not been affected.
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Airstrike by Israel • 25%
Missile attack by Iran • 25%
Naval engagement • 25%
No significant engagement • 25%
Airstrike by Israel • 25%
Missile attack by Iran • 25%
Naval engagement • 25%
Other • 25%
Airstrike • 25%
Missile exchange • 25%
Cyberattack • 25%
Other • 25%
Israel initiates conflict • 25%
Iran initiates conflict • 25%
Both initiate conflict simultaneously • 25%
No significant conflict • 25%
Iran initiates • 25%
Israel initiates • 25%
Both initiate simultaneously • 25%
No engagement occurs • 25%
Airstrike • 25%
Missile attack • 25%
Drone attack • 25%
Other • 25%
Airstrike • 25%
Missile attack • 25%
Ground invasion • 25%
Naval engagement • 25%
Syria • 25%
Lebanon • 25%
Gaza Strip • 25%
Other • 25%
No engagement • 25%
Limited engagement • 25%
Full-scale conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Another plane interception • 25%
Missile strike • 25%
Naval confrontation • 25%
No significant action • 25%