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What will be the next significant military action involving Israel and Iran by the end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Airstrike by Israel • 25%
Missile attack by Iran • 25%
Naval engagement • 25%
Other • 25%
IDF official statements and international news reports
Story
IDF Allows Citizens to Leave Shelters as Iranian Threat Ends, No Casualties, Airspace Reopened
Oct 1, 2024, 05:38 PM
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have announced that citizens can now leave bomb shelters following a situational assessment. IDF Spokesman Rear Adm. Daniel Hagari confirmed that there are no additional threats from Iran, indicating the end of the recent missile attack. The Home Front Command has issued a message informing civilians that it is safe to exit shelters across the country. Additionally, Israeli airspace has been reopened. Hagari reported no casualties and multiple successful interceptions during the attack.
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Air strikes • 25%
Naval confrontation • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Other • 25%
Airstrike by Israel • 25%
Missile attack by Iran • 25%
Naval engagement • 25%
No significant engagement • 25%
Airstrike • 25%
Missile exchange • 25%
Cyberattack • 25%
Other • 25%
Airstrike • 25%
Missile attack • 25%
Ground invasion • 25%
Naval engagement • 25%
Israel initiates conflict • 25%
Iran initiates conflict • 25%
Both initiate conflict simultaneously • 25%
No significant conflict • 25%
Another plane interception • 25%
Missile strike • 25%
Naval confrontation • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Syria • 25%
Lebanon • 25%
Gaza Strip • 25%
Other • 25%
Missile Strike • 25%
Drone Attack • 25%
Cyber Attack • 25%
Other • 25%
Hezbollah strike on Tel Aviv • 25%
Israeli ground incursion into Lebanon • 25%
Clashes at the border • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Successful strike with Arab support • 25%
Unsuccessful strike • 25%
No strike occurs • 25%
Strike occurs but without Arab support • 25%
Iran initiates • 25%
Israel initiates • 25%
Both initiate simultaneously • 25%
No engagement occurs • 25%
Airstrike • 25%
Missile attack • 25%
Drone attack • 25%
Other • 25%