Loading...
Market
Outcome of Military Engagement Involving Israel and Iran by End of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
No engagement • 25%
Limited engagement • 25%
Full-scale conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and government statements.
Story
US Deploys $3B THAAD Missile Defense to Israel for First Time Amid Iran Tensions
Oct 12, 2024, 05:47 PM
The United States is urgently deploying a Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) missile defense system, worth $3 billion, to Israel for the first time, according to multiple reports from Israeli media including US Army Radio and Channel 12. Only one THAAD battery will be stationed, and it has reportedly already arrived in Israel. The deployment aims to bolster Israel's air defenses against potential Iranian ballistic missile attacks in anticipation of a possible Israeli retaliatory strike against Iran. The THAAD system, operated by U.S. soldiers, is designed to intercept short, medium, and intermediate-range ballistic missiles during their terminal phase using a 'hit-to-kill' approach. However, U.S. defense officials have stated that a decision to deploy the THAAD system in Israel has not yet been made, although it is being considered.
View original story
Similar markets
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Skirmishes • 25%
Full-scale War • 25%
No Military Confrontation • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Formal peace treaty • 25%
Other • 25%
Iran Victory • 25%
Israel Victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued skirmishes • 25%
Full-scale war • 25%
No conflict occurs • 25%
Successful strike with Arab support • 25%
Unsuccessful strike • 25%
No strike occurs • 25%
Strike occurs but without Arab support • 25%
Full-scale conflict • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant escalation • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict into 2025 • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Other • 25%
Escalation to full-scale war • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Iran Victory • 25%
Israel Victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Major conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
No significant action • 25%
No military confrontation • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Major military conflict • 25%
Other military outcome • 25%
Significant financial damage to Iran • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
Escalation into broader conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%