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What will be the next significant military action involving long-range missiles by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Russia using hypersonic missiles • 25%
Ukraine using ATACMS again • 25%
Neither side using long-range missiles • 25%
Both sides using long-range missiles • 25%
Verified reports from international news agencies such as BBC, Reuters, or official statements from the Russian or Ukrainian governments
Story
Russia Intercepts Eight US-Made ATACMS Missiles Fired at Belgorod, Warns of Hypersonic Strikes on Kyiv
Jan 4, 2025, 11:30 AM
Russia's Defense Ministry announced that it intercepted eight US-made ATACMS missiles launched by Ukraine towards the Belgorod region. The missiles were reportedly shot down by S-400 and Pantsir-SM air defense systems. Moscow warned that the use of ATACMS missiles could prompt a hypersonic ballistic missile attack on central Kyiv, and vowed retaliation for the attempted strikes. The use of US-supplied ATACMS missiles represents an escalation in the conflict, as these long-range missiles can strike deep into Russian territory.
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Cyber attack • 25%
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Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Nuclear test • 25%
Another missile test • 25%
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Diplomatic condemnations • 25%
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