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What will be North Korea's next significant military action by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Nuclear test • 25%
Missile launch • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Other military action • 25%
Reports from international monitoring agencies or major news outlets
Story
North Korea's Kim Jong Un Announces 'Toughest' Strategy Against U.S., Citing Nuclear Military Bloc
Dec 29, 2024, 03:44 AM
North Korea has announced a 'toughest' strategy against the United States at a key party meeting of the Workers' Party of Korea, held from December 23 to 27, according to state media KCNA. The strategy is aimed at countering the U.S. for North Korea's security and national interests. Leader Kim Jong Un, who presided over the meeting, criticized the U.S., labeling it as the 'most reactionary state' and accused the U.S., South Korea, and Japan of forming an 'aggressive nuclear military bloc.' Kim also called for the continuous enhancement of the North Korean army's warfare capabilities and the development of defense science and technology to bolster war deterrence. During the session, Pak Thae-song was appointed as the new premier, replacing Kim Tok-hun, and Choe Son-hui was named to the party's politburo.
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Another missile test • 25%
No major action • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Nuclear test • 25%
Withdrawal of troops • 25%
Increase in troop numbers • 25%
Significant casualties reported • 25%
No major development • 25%
Increased Military Drills • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic Engagement • 25%
Cyber Attacks • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Increased training • 25%
Unknown strategy • 25%
Change in deployment strategy • 25%
New Missile Technology • 25%
Enhanced Cyber Warfare • 25%
Improved Conventional Forces • 25%
Other • 25%
Long-range missile • 25%
Short-range missile • 25%
Hypersonic missile • 25%
Medium-range missile • 25%
Ukraine using ATACMS again • 25%
Russia using hypersonic missiles • 25%
Neither side using long-range missiles • 25%
Both sides using long-range missiles • 25%
Intermediate-range ballistic missile • 25%
Short-range ballistic missile • 25%
Intercontinental ballistic missile • 25%
Hypersonic missile • 25%
Other Military Support • 25%
Artillery Supply • 25%
Supply of Drones • 25%
Troop Deployment • 25%
Increases military drills • 25%
Conducts missile tests • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Engages in diplomatic talks • 25%
Continued mass infantry assaults • 25%
Increased air support • 25%
Shift to defensive operations • 25%
Withdrawal from active combat • 25%