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What will be the next major escalation involving Israeli air defenses by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Houthi missile attack • 25%
Iranian-backed forces attack • 25%
Hezbollah attack • 25%
Other • 25%
Verified reports from the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or major news outlets
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IDF: Israeli Air Defenses Activated in Eilat Amid Reports of Explosions, No Projectiles Fired
Jul 20, 2024, 08:28 PM
Israeli air defenses were activated in the city of Eilat, southern Israel, on Saturday night following reports of explosions. Initial reports suggested that Yemen had fired ballistic missiles, and the explosions were believed to be linked to a potential Houthi attack. The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) confirmed the reports and stated that they were under review. However, the IDF later clarified that no projectiles were fired towards Eilat, no interceptors were launched, and there was no indication of a security incident. This development follows threats from Iran-backed Houthis to respond with an 'effective response' to Israeli airstrikes on Hodeidah.
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Iron Dome • 25%
David's Sling • 25%
Laser System • 25%
Other systems • 25%
Upgrade to existing systems • 25%
Deployment of new systems • 25%
Increased funding • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Upgrade in technology • 25%
Increased deployment of existing systems • 25%
Development of new defense systems • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Escalation to full-scale conflict • 25%
Limited military engagement • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military strike • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Iron Dome • 25%
David's Sling • 25%
Arrow • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful interception of all rockets • 25%
Partial interception with some damage • 25%
No interception with significant damage • 25%
No further rocket attacks • 25%
Increased aerial bombardments • 25%
Ground offensive • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Airstrikes on Yemen • 25%
Ground operations in Yemen • 25%
Increased aerial defense measures • 25%
No significant military action • 25%
