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Outcome of Israeli air defense activation by Nov 30, 2024?
2
Israeli•Lebanon•Palestine•Galilee•Hezbollah•Sheikh Naim Qassem•Hassan Nasrallah•Israeli Defense•Yoav Gallant•Gallant
Resolution / Starting Odds
Escalation to full-scale conflict • 25%
Limited military engagement • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Reports from the Israeli military or credible international news agencies
Story
Israel Activates Air Defenses After Rockets Hit Galilee Following Hezbollah's New Leader Appointment
Oct 29, 2024, 01:07 PM
The Israeli military activated air defenses in response to a volley of rockets launched from Lebanon targeting several Israeli settlements in northern occupied Palestine, including the Galilee. The rocket fire came shortly after Hezbollah declared Sheikh Naim Qassem as their new Secretary-General, succeeding Hassan Nasrallah. Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant reacted strongly to the appointment, calling it 'temporary' and stating that 'the countdown has begun.' Gallant also issued a warning to the new Hezbollah leader, indicating that his tenure might be short-lived.
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Similar markets
Successful interception of all rockets • 25%
Partial interception with some damage • 25%
No interception with significant damage • 25%
No further rocket attacks • 25%
Successful Deployment • 25%
Partial Deployment • 25%
No Deployment • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Successfully neutralized the threat • 25%
Partial success with some damage • 25%
Significant damage and casualties • 25%
No attack occurred • 25%
Houthi missile attack • 25%
Iranian-backed forces attack • 25%
Hezbollah attack • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant Hezbollah casualties • 25%
Destruction of key Hezbollah infrastructure • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
Other • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Human error • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful with strategic gains • 25%
Limited success • 25%
Ineffective • 25%
Undisclosed • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Human error • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%