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What will be the next major development in Blue Origin's New Glenn Program by June 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful test flight • 25%
Launch delay • 25%
Technical issues • 25%
Partnership announcement • 25%
Announcements from Blue Origin or major aerospace news outlets
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Blue Origin Receives License for New Glenn Tests November 1-19, 2024 Amid Untreated Industrial Wastewater Concerns
Nov 1, 2024, 07:00 PM
Blue Origin Florida, LLC has been granted a license to conduct test verification and validation for its New Glenn Program from November 1 to November 19, 2024. The company is cleared to test using clean water, which reduces heat damage, acoustic impact, and debris. However, due to regulatory complications, the use of clean water is now classified as 'industrial wastewater,' leading to challenges for the company. Additionally, Blue Origin received a Warning Letter from the Florida Department of Environmental Protection (FDEP) for discharging untreated industrial wastewater during a static fire test of its GS2 rocket in September. The FDEP is currently investigating the incident to determine further actions.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
First successful orbital flight • 25%
First crewed mission announcement • 25%
First commercial payload launch • 25%
Other milestone • 25%
Starship orbital launch • 33%
Crewed Mars mission • 33%
Starlink global coverage • 33%
First flight with more than six passengers • 25%
First international passenger • 25%
First orbital flight • 25%
Other milestone • 25%
Successful uncrewed test flight • 25%
Successful crewed test flight • 25%
Certification for regular missions • 25%
No major milestone achieved • 25%
Technical issues resolved • 25%
New mission planned • 25%
Further delays announced • 25%
Mission cancelled • 25%
First crewed mission announcement • 25%
Successful lunar landing • 25%
First Mars mission announcement • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful Crewed Mission • 25%
Uncrewed Test Flight • 25%
Technical Delay • 25%
Mission Cancellation • 25%
Thermal protection systems • 25%
Propellant tanks • 25%
Manufacturing processes • 25%
Landing mechanisms • 25%