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What will be the new Syrian leadership's stance towards Israel by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Hostile • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Friendly • 25%
No clear stance • 25%
Official statements from the Syrian government or recognized international news agencies
Story
Hezbollah's Naim Qassem Says Loss of Syrian Supply Route After Assad's Fall Is a Minor Detail
Dec 14, 2024, 04:53 PM
Hezbollah's Secretary-General Naim Qassem has acknowledged that the group has lost its military supply route through Syria following the fall of President Bashar al-Assad nearly a week ago. He stated that losing the supply route is a minor detail that can change over time, emphasizing that Hezbollah's resistance is flexible and committed to continuing. Qassem expressed hope that the new Syrian leadership will view Israel as an enemy and not normalize relations. He noted that Hezbollah cannot judge the new leadership until the situation stabilizes and they take clear positions. Qassem affirmed that the Syrian people have the right to choose their government, constitution, and future, and hopes that all parties in Syria will participate so that governance is based on the will of all Syrian people. He added that what happened in Syria will not affect Lebanon.
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Similar markets
Normalize relations with Israel • 25%
Remain neutral • 25%
Declare Israel as an enemy • 25%
No clear stance • 25%
No official stance taken • 25%
Improved relations with Israel • 25%
Neutral stance maintained • 25%
Increased hostility towards Israel • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Declare Israel an enemy • 25%
Maintain a neutral stance • 25%
Normalize relations with Israel • 25%
Escalate hostilities • 25%
Normalize relations • 25%
Maintain current status • 25%
No clear stance • 25%
Other leadership change • 25%
Military coup • 25%
Internationally brokered government • 25%
Assad remains in power • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
No progress • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
Other diplomatic outcomes • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Relations remain the same • 25%
Formal diplomatic relations established • 25%
Informal relations improved • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other • 25%
Neutral Stance • 25%
Military Retaliation • 25%
Diplomatic Engagement • 25%
Increased tensions or conflict • 25%
Diplomatic relations established • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued non-engagement • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Trade agreement • 25%
Security cooperation • 25%
Border dispute resolution • 25%
