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What will be the major economic impact due to the U.S. debt ceiling issue in 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Recession occurs • 33%
No significant impact • 33%
Economic growth accelerates • 34%
Economic reports from the U.S. government or major financial institutions
Story
U.S. Treasury to Use Extraordinary Measures on January 21 to Avoid $36 Trillion Debt Limit Breach
Jan 17, 2025, 10:11 PM
Outgoing U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has announced that the Treasury Department will begin implementing 'extraordinary measures' on January 21 to avoid breaching the U.S. debt limit. This action comes as the U.S. government is set to reach its statutory borrowing limit of approximately $36 trillion on the same day. Yellen urged Congress to act promptly to protect the full faith and credit of the United States, highlighting the uncertainty in how long these measures can sustain government operations. The measures include suspending investments in the Civil Service Retirement and Disability Fund and the Postal Service Retiree Health Benefits Fund, which will be replenished once Congress addresses the debt ceiling.
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