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What will be the level of international involvement in the Israel-Hamas ceasefire deal by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
High involvement • 25%
Moderate involvement • 25%
Low involvement • 25%
No involvement • 25%
Reports from international bodies such as the UN or credible news agencies
Story
Israel and Hamas Near Ceasefire Deal to Free 33 Hostages, Biden Says
Jan 13, 2025, 07:58 PM
Ceasefire talks between Israel and Hamas are in advanced stages, potentially leading to the release of up to 33 hostages, according to Israeli officials. U.S. President Joe Biden announced that a Gaza deal is 'on the brink' of coming to fruition, referring to a proposal he laid out months ago. 'We're pressing hard to close this deal,' Biden said, emphasizing the urgency to halt the fighting, secure Israel's security, and significantly increase humanitarian assistance to Gaza. He acknowledged that the people of Gaza have 'lived through hell' and stressed that Palestinians need peace. Multiple sources indicate that an agreement is close to being finalized.
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Other international intervention • 25%
No international intervention • 25%
NATO-led intervention • 25%
UN-led intervention • 25%
Partial ceasefire with phased agreements • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire and hostages release agreed • 25%
Ceasefire only agreed • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Widespread support • 25%
Widespread criticism • 25%
No significant response • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased humanitarian aid • 25%
UN sanctions on Hamas • 25%
Diplomatic intervention • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Temporary ceasefire agreed • 25%
Permanent ceasefire agreed • 25%
Other • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
UN sanctions against Israel • 25%
Mediation efforts initiated • 25%
UN sanctions against Hamas • 25%
UN involvement • 25%
EU involvement • 25%
US involvement • 25%
No additional international involvement • 25%
Temporary truce without formal agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire with terms agreed • 25%
Partial ceasefire agreement • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Military support • 25%
Direct negotiation • 25%
Mediation • 25%
No significant involvement • 25%
Successful ceasefire • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
Failed negotiations • 25%
No negotiations • 25%