Israel and Hamas Near Ceasefire Deal to Free 33 Hostages, Biden Says

    Israel and Hamas Near Ceasefire Deal to Free 33 Hostages, Biden Says

    Jan 13, 2025, 07:58 PM

    Ceasefire talks between Israel and Hamas are in advanced stages, potentially leading to the release of up to 33 hostages, according to Israeli officials. U.S. President Joe Biden announced that a Gaza deal is 'on the brink' of coming to fruition, referring to a proposal he laid out months ago. 'We're pressing hard to close this deal,' Biden said, emphasizing the urgency to halt the fighting, secure Israel's security, and significantly increase humanitarian assistance to Gaza. He acknowledged that the people of Gaza have 'lived through hell' and stressed that Palestinians need peace. Multiple sources indicate that an agreement is close to being finalized.

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    Markets

    Resolution / Starting Odds

    No50%

    Yes50%

    Statements from the United Nations or official announcements from humanitarian organizations

    Resolution / Starting Odds

    Yes50%

    No50%

    Official announcements from Israeli and Hamas officials or credible news agencies

    Resolution / Starting Odds

    No50%

    Yes50%

    Official statements from the White House or credible news agencies

    Resolution / Starting Odds

    21-33 hostages25%

    More than 33 hostages25%

    0-10 hostages25%

    11-20 hostages25%

    Official announcements from Israeli and Hamas officials or credible news agencies

    Resolution / Starting Odds

    Low involvement25%

    High involvement25%

    No involvement25%

    Moderate involvement25%

    Reports from international bodies such as the UN or credible news agencies

    Resolution / Starting Odds

    Other outcome25%

    Ceasefire with hostage release25%

    Ceasefire without hostage release25%

    No ceasefire agreement25%

    Official announcements from Israeli and Hamas officials or credible news agencies