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What will be the legal outcome for Abedini in Italy by end of 2025?
2
Italy•Carlo Nordio•United States•Mohammad Abedini•Iranian•Milan•Abedini•Iran•US•American•Italian•Cecilia Sala•Tehran
Resolution / Starting Odds
Extradited to the US • 25%
Released without extradition • 25%
Charged and tried in Italy • 25%
Still detained awaiting decision • 25%
Court decisions or announcements from the Italian judicial system
Story
Italy Awaits US Extradition Request for Mohammad Abedini Over Drone Technology Transfer
Jan 9, 2025, 07:24 AM
Italy's Justice Minister Carlo Nordio has stated that the United States has not yet submitted a formal extradition request for Mohammad Abedini, an Iranian businessman detained in Milan. Abedini's arrest is linked to allegations of transferring drone technology to Iran, which the US claims was used in an attack that killed three American soldiers. The matter of Abedini's extradition is described as purely legal and unrelated to the recent release of Italian journalist Cecilia Sala, who was detained in Tehran and freed on January 8, 2025.
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Similar markets
Released in Italy • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Returned to Iran • 25%
Extradited to the US • 25%
Abedini released • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Abedini remains detained in Italy • 25%
Abedini extradited to U.S. • 25%
Violation of US sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Conspiracy to export sensitive technology • 25%
Terrorism-related charge • 25%
Prisoner exchange involving Mohammad Abedini • 25%
Cecilia Sala released • 25%
Other diplomatic resolution • 25%
Cecilia Sala remains detained • 25%
New trial ordered • 25%
Appeal denied • 25%
Conviction overturned • 25%
Sentence reduced • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Guilty of all charges • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Guilty of some charges • 25%
Extradition denied • 25%
Extradited to UK • 25%
Extradition delayed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%