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How will Abedini's case impact US-Italy relations by end of 2025?
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Italy•Carlo Nordio•United States•Mohammad Abedini•Iranian•Milan•Abedini•Iran•US•American•Italian•Cecilia Sala•Tehran
Resolution / Starting Odds
Relations improve • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
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Official statements from US or Italian government or credible news reports
Story
Italy Awaits US Extradition Request for Mohammad Abedini Over Drone Technology Transfer
Jan 9, 2025, 07:24 AM
Italy's Justice Minister Carlo Nordio has stated that the United States has not yet submitted a formal extradition request for Mohammad Abedini, an Iranian businessman detained in Milan. Abedini's arrest is linked to allegations of transferring drone technology to Iran, which the US claims was used in an attack that killed three American soldiers. The matter of Abedini's extradition is described as purely legal and unrelated to the recent release of Italian journalist Cecilia Sala, who was detained in Tehran and freed on January 8, 2025.
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Other outcome • 25%
Returned to Iran • 25%
Released in Italy • 25%
Extradited to the US • 25%
Relations improve • 25%
Relations unchanged • 25%
Other impact • 25%
Relations deteriorate • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Abedini extradited to U.S. • 25%
Abedini released • 25%
Abedini remains detained in Italy • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No change • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Other • 25%
Cecilia Sala remains detained • 25%
Other diplomatic resolution • 25%
Prisoner exchange involving Mohammad Abedini • 25%
Cecilia Sala released • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Iran • 25%
United States • 25%
Neither • 25%
Both Simultaneously • 25%