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What will be the leadership change within PKK/KCK following Mürvet Gülsever's neutralization by May 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
New leader appointed • 25%
Current leadership consolidated • 25%
Leadership structure remains unchanged • 25%
Other • 25%
Announcements from PKK/KCK or reports from credible news agencies
Story
Turkey's MIT Neutralizes PKK/KCK Leader Mürvet Gülsever in Sulaymaniyah, Iraq
Dec 7, 2024, 11:10 AM
Turkey's National Intelligence Organization (MIT) has neutralized Mürvet Gülsever, a so-called leader of the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK/KCK) women's organization PAJK, in the Iraqi city of Sulaymaniyah. Gülsever was reportedly a key figure in the PKK/KCK's female wing, known as PAJK, and was targeted in a precise operation by MIT in Iraq.
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New leader appointed • 25%
Leadership remains unchanged • 25%
Leadership structure reformed • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Leadership change • 25%
Strategic shift • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant reduction in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
No significant change in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Increase in PKK/YPG activity • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continued military action • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Policy remains unchanged • 25%
New strategy announced • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
Iran • 25%
Other country • 25%
Mustafa Yesil • 25%
Nurullah Albayrak • 25%
Ali Unal • 25%
Other • 25%
Complete elimination • 25%
Significant reduction • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
Increased PKK activity • 25%