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What will be the international response to UK claims against Putin by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic actions taken • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other responses • 25%
Official statements or actions from international bodies like the UN or NATO
Story
UK Intelligence Links Putin to Sergei Skripal Assassination Attempt Over Criminal Embezzlement in Metals Production
Dec 2, 2024, 06:04 PM
The UK government has indicated that Russian President Vladimir Putin may have ordered the assassination attempt on former spy Sergei Skripal due to concerns that Skripal possessed secret information about Putin's alleged criminal embezzlement of profits from metals production. Reports suggest that the intelligence community believes this motive is linked to Putin's fear of exposure regarding how he accumulated his vast fortune. The incident is part of a broader pattern of targeted actions against individuals who pose a threat to Putin's interests.
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Condemnation of UK and Ukraine • 25%
Call for investigation • 25%
Support for UK and Ukraine • 25%
No official response • 25%
UN Resolution • 25%
EU Sanctions • 25%
NATO Military Exercises • 25%
No Coordinated Response • 25%
NATO issues a statement • 25%
UN issues a statement • 25%
No official response • 25%
Joint statement from multiple countries • 25%
Strong Condemnation • 25%
Mild Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
No Official Response • 25%
Issue a formal denial • 25%
Engage in diplomatic talks • 25%
Impose counter-sanctions on Russia • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
Mediation efforts by third-party countries • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Expulsions • 25%
Military Posturing • 25%
No Action • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Increased sanctions on Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic interventions • 25%
Other • 25%
UN condemns Ukraine • 25%
NATO condemns Ukraine • 25%
EU condemns Ukraine • 25%
No major condemnation • 25%
New sanctions imposed • 25%
UN resolution passed • 25%
Military aid to Ukraine increased • 25%
No major actions taken • 25%
Increased sanctions from other countries • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant change in international response • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%