Loading...
Market
What will be the international response to the Ursa Major incident by June 30, 2025?
2
Russian•Ursa Major•Mediterranean Sea•Russian Foreign Ministry•Cartagena•Murcia•Spain•Algeria•Oboronlogistika•Russian Ministry of Defense•US•Syria
Resolution / Starting Odds
Condemnation of Russia • 25%
Call for international investigation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support for Russia's claims • 25%
Statements or actions from international bodies such as the UN, NATO, or EU
Story
Russia Says 'Terrorist Act' Sank Ursa Major Cargo Ship; Two Crew Missing
Dec 25, 2024, 04:04 PM
A Russian cargo ship named Ursa Major sank in the Mediterranean Sea after an explosion, leaving two crew members missing, according to the Russian Foreign Ministry. Fourteen crew members were rescued and transported to the port of Cartagena, Murcia, Spain. The ship sank in international waters between Spain and Algeria on December 24th following an explosion in the engine room. Oboronlogistika, the state-owned company owned by the Russian Ministry of Defense, claimed that a 'terrorist act' caused the sinking, stating that three consecutive explosions occurred on the starboard side near the stern on December 23rd, causing a 25-degree list to starboard. The Ursa Major was reportedly on the US sanctions list and had been used to supply operations in Syria. Russian authorities have launched an investigation into the incident.
View original story
Similar markets
Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Military action • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Formal Investigation by International Maritime Organization • 25%
No Significant Action • 25%
Other • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
No action • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Condemnation of Ukraine • 25%
Condemnation of Russia • 25%
Calls for ceasefire • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Military aid to Ukraine increased • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Condemnation of Ukraine • 25%
Support for Ukraine • 25%
Calls for investigation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Condemnation without sanctions • 25%
No official response • 25%
Other response • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation of Hamas • 25%
Sanctions on Hamas • 25%
Military support to Israel • 25%
No significant action • 25%
No foul play • 25%
Foul play confirmed • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Other • 25%
New sanctions on Russia • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
International condemnation without action • 25%
No significant response • 25%