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What will be the international reaction to South Korea's political situation by January 31, 2025?
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South Korea•Corruption Investigation Office•CIO•Yoon Suk Yeol•Seoul Western District Court•Presidential Security Service•Yoon
Resolution / Starting Odds
Condemnation of arrest • 25%
Support for legal process • 25%
Calls for restraint • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Statements from major international governments or organizations
Story
South Korea's CIO to Arrest President Yoon Suk Yeol by January 6 Amid Insurrection Allegations
Jan 2, 2025, 01:00 AM
South Korea's Corruption Investigation Office (CIO) is poised to execute an arrest warrant against President Yoon Suk Yeol as early as Thursday, amid allegations of leading an insurrection. The warrant, issued by the Seoul Western District Court, includes an exceptional clause that allows for the search of the presidential residence without the approval of the Presidential Security Service. This move has escalated tensions, with supporters of President Yoon gathering near the presidential residence in an attempt to thwart the arrest. The warrant's execution deadline is set for January 6, and the CIO has emphasized that any obstruction by the security team will be treated as interference with public duties. President Yoon's legal team has filed an objection to the warrant's execution with the Seoul Western District Court, arguing that it is illegal and invalid. Meanwhile, clashes between supporters and protesters have intensified around the presidential residence, with police forces on standby to manage potential conflicts.
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Sanctions Imposed • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Condemnations Issued • 25%
Other Actions • 25%
Calls for dialogue and resolution • 25%
Limited or no official response • 25%
Condemnation from international community • 25%
Support for South Korean government • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Calls for Dialogue • 25%
No Official Response • 25%
Support for Yoon • 25%
Diplomatic Condemnation • 25%
Mediation Efforts • 25%
No Significant Action • 25%
Increased Sanctions • 25%
Neutral • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
No Official Response • 25%
Increased Military Activity • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic Condemnation Only • 25%
Escalation of crisis • 25%
Crisis ongoing • 25%
Crisis resolved • 25%
Other • 25%
Yoon is arrested • 25%
Yoon remains in power • 25%
Yoon resigns • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increased hostility • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
New elections called • 25%
Other significant resolution • 25%
Government reshuffle • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Mediation efforts • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Condemnation from major countries • 25%
Support from major countries • 25%
Neutral stance from major countries • 25%