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What will be the impact on U.S.-Russia relations from Trump's Ukraine policy by June 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Relations improve • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Relations unchanged • 25%
New diplomatic initiatives • 25%
Official diplomatic statements and credible news reports
Story
Trump Prepared to Halt U.S. Military Aid to Ukraine Over Peace Talks
Nov 28, 2024, 08:31 PM
Donald Trump has stated he is prepared to halt all U.S. military aid and weapons deliveries to Ukraine if the country refuses to enter peace negotiations with Russia. This policy stance reflects a significant shift in the U.S. approach to the ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia, emphasizing diplomatic resolution over continued military support.
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Improved relations • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
New diplomatic agreements • 25%
Strengthened relations • 25%
Weakened relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Positive impact on US-Russia relations • 25%
Negative impact on US-Russia relations • 25%
Mixed impact • 25%
Strengthened military alliance • 25%
Reduced military cooperation • 25%
Economic sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic relations unchanged • 25%
Significantly improved • 25%
Moderately improved • 25%
No change • 25%
Deteriorated • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire without agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Successful truce facilitated • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Other impacts • 25%
Pro-Ukraine stance • 25%
Pro-Russia stance • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Other stances • 25%
Increase in support • 25%
Decrease in support • 25%
No change in support • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Critical • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Unclear • 25%