Loading...
Market
What will be the impact of Trump's negotiation efforts on the Ukraine-Russia conflict by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful truce facilitated • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Other impacts • 25%
Analysis from foreign policy experts or major news organizations
Story
Ukrainian President Zelensky Open to Truce with Russia, Including Cession of Territory, Amid Trump's 2024 Campaign Influence
Nov 29, 2024, 09:16 PM
In a significant development regarding the ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has expressed a willingness to negotiate a truce with Russia for the first time, potentially involving the cession of territory. This announcement comes amid discussions surrounding Donald Trump's influence on foreign policy, as he is reportedly negotiating behind the scenes to facilitate an end to the war before he officially takes office again. Analysts note that Trump's foreign policy stance was a key issue in his 2024 campaign, and his potential return to the presidency could reshape U.S. relations with both Ukraine and Russia. However, challenges remain, as Trump will inherit a complex foreign policy landscape similar to that faced by the current administration.
View original story
Similar markets
Ceasefire with territorial concessions by Ukraine • 25%
Ceasefire without territorial concessions • 25%
No ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire without agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Peace Treaty • 25%
No Resolution • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Peace deal reached • 25%
Negotiations stalled • 25%
Negotiations abandoned • 25%
No official outcome • 25%
Significant de-escalation • 25%
No change • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful negotiation and conflict resolution • 25%
Increased military aid without resolution • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire declared • 25%
Conflict continues • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No agreement • 25%
Preliminary agreement • 25%
Comprehensive agreement • 25%
Meeting does not occur • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other diplomatic resolution • 25%