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What will be the impact on global shipping routes through the Red Sea within 6 months of the Laax attack?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased security measures • 25%
Change in shipping routes • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Reduction in shipping traffic • 25%
International maritime organizations, trade statistics, or major logistics and shipping news outlets
Story
Greek-Owned Bulk Carrier Laax Attacked by Missiles in Red Sea Off Yemen
May 28, 2024, 12:39 PM
A commercial vessel, identified as the Greek-owned, Marshall Islands-flagged bulk carrier Laax, was attacked by three missiles approximately 54 nautical miles southwest of Hodeidah, Yemen in the Red Sea. The attack, presumed to be carried out by Houthi forces, caused significant damage to the cargo compartment, resulting in the vessel taking on water and tilting. The ship issued a distress signal reporting the damage and water ingress. The incident has been confirmed by maritime security firm Ambrey and a US defense official.
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Increase in shipping insurance costs • 25%
Redirection of major shipping routes • 25%
Deployment of additional private security • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Increased Security Measures • 50%
Status Quo • 50%
Significant Disruption • 25%
Minor Disruption • 25%
No Impact • 25%
Increased Shipping Costs • 25%
Routes Altered • 33%
Routes Unchanged • 33%
Enhanced Security Deployed • 34%
Increased Threat • 33%
Stable Threat • 33%
Decreased Threat • 34%