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Market
How many follow-up attacks will occur in the same region within 6 months of the Laax incident?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
0 attacks • 25%
1 attack • 25%
2 attacks • 25%
3 or more attacks • 25%
Maritime security firms, international news reports
Story
Greek-Owned Bulk Carrier Laax Attacked by Missiles in Red Sea Off Yemen
May 28, 2024, 12:39 PM
A commercial vessel, identified as the Greek-owned, Marshall Islands-flagged bulk carrier Laax, was attacked by three missiles approximately 54 nautical miles southwest of Hodeidah, Yemen in the Red Sea. The attack, presumed to be carried out by Houthi forces, caused significant damage to the cargo compartment, resulting in the vessel taking on water and tilting. The ship issued a distress signal reporting the damage and water ingress. The incident has been confirmed by maritime security firm Ambrey and a US defense official.
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Similar markets
0 attacks • 25%
1-2 attacks • 25%
3-5 attacks • 25%
More than 5 attacks • 25%
No further attacks • 33%
One more attack • 33%
Multiple attacks • 34%
No further attacks • 33%
One further attack • 33%
Multiple attacks • 34%
No other incidents • 33%
1-2 other incidents • 33%
More than 2 incidents • 34%
Enhanced safety measures • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Increased insurance premiums • 25%
Reduction in sailing activities • 25%
No further attacks • 25%
1-2 attacks • 25%
3-5 attacks • 25%
More than 5 attacks • 25%
0 • 25%
1-2 • 25%
3-5 • 25%
More than 5 • 25%
0-5 attacks • 25%
6-10 attacks • 25%
11-15 attacks • 25%
More than 15 attacks • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
