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What will be the impact on global arms control agreements by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
New arms control agreements negotiated • 25%
Existing agreements strengthened • 25%
Existing agreements weakened • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Reports from international arms control organizations and credible news agencies
Story
Russia's Sergey Lavrov to Abandon Unilateral Moratorium on Short and Medium-Range Missiles Amid U.S. Deployments
Dec 29, 2024, 06:22 AM
Russia's Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov announced that the country will abandon its unilateral moratorium on the deployment of short and medium-range missiles. In an interview with RIA Novosti, Lavrov stated that the moratorium is no longer viable and must be discarded, particularly in light of the United States' actions in deploying similar weapons. He emphasized that Russia is committed to adhering to the limits set by the START treaty while rearming its strategic nuclear forces.
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No changes • 25%
Other actions • 25%
New agreement signed • 25%
Existing agreement revised • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Other • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other • 25%
No New Agreements • 25%
Renewal of INF Treaty • 25%
New Treaty Signed • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Agreement on missile limitations • 25%
Postponed Discussions • 25%
Escalated Tensions • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Agreement Reached • 25%
Other international body • 25%
European Union • 25%
United Nations • 25%
No international involvement • 25%
Unclear impact • 25%
Strengthens Russian influence • 25%
Weakens Russian influence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other diplomatic resolution • 25%
No official response • 25%
Rejected by U.S. • 25%
Accepted by U.S. • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Talks lead to de-escalation • 25%
Talks lead to increased tensions • 25%
Talks result in new sanctions • 25%
Engage in diplomatic talks • 25%
Conduct a nuclear test • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increase military readiness • 25%