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What will be the identified source of the immigration raid leak by Mar 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Internal government source • 25%
External source • 25%
Unknown source • 25%
Multiple sources • 25%
Official investigation reports or credible news sources identifying the leak source
Story
Trump's Tom Homan Reconsiders Chicago Immigration Raids Next Week After Leaks
Jan 18, 2025, 11:50 PM
Tom Homan, the incoming border czar for the Trump administration, has indicated that plans for an immigration enforcement operation in Chicago, initially scheduled for next week, are under reconsideration. This decision follows the premature leaking of preliminary details regarding the raids, which would have marked a significant enforcement effort in the city. Homan emphasized that the administration is assessing the situation, stating that the leak has put officers at risk and that the decision will be influenced by the circumstances surrounding the leak. The potential operation was characterized as a major initiative to round up undocumented immigrants in both Chicago and New York City.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Public condemnation • 25%
Policy changes • 25%
Other actions • 25%
No official response • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
Diplomatic actions against involved parties • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Legal consequences for DOJ • 25%
Impact on congressional oversight • 25%
Constitutional violations • 25%
Other aspects • 25%
No identification • 25%
Domestic source • 25%
Foreign source • 25%
Unknown source • 25%
DOJ officials • 25%
Congressional members or staff • 25%
Journalists • 25%
No significant consequences • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Private Company • 25%
Individual(s) • 25%
Remains unidentified • 25%
Government • 25%
