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What will be the EU's conclusion on China's knowledge of drone production by June 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
China was aware • 25%
China was not aware • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
No official statement • 25%
Official EU reports or credible news sources
Story
EU Considers Sanctions on China Over Drones for Russia from Xinjiang
Nov 15, 2024, 05:41 PM
The European Union has obtained what it considers 'conclusive' evidence that China is producing armed drones for Russia, specifically in the western Xinjiang region. This development marks the first instance of China directly supplying weapons to Russia for its conflict with Ukraine. EU foreign policy chief Josep Borrell has informed member states of this intelligence, leading to discussions on potential sanctions against China at a Monday meeting in Brussels. These sanctions could include business bans, asset freezes, and travel restrictions. An EU official stated it's difficult to believe the production of drones is happening without the knowledge or complete lack of knowledge of the Chinese authorities. The EU is also pressing Beijing for answers regarding the production of these drones, although it remains unclear whether the Chinese government was aware of or approved these activities.
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Condemnation by NATO • 25%
UN resolution proposed • 25%
Support for EU from G7 • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Sanctions announced • 25%
Diplomatic warning issued • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Further investigation required • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Impose new sanctions on China • 25%
Issue a diplomatic warning • 25%
Take no immediate action • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Deny involvement • 25%
Acknowledge and justify • 25%
Acknowledge and cease production • 25%
No official response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Condemn China and impose sanctions • 25%
Increase support for Ukraine • 25%
Engage in diplomatic efforts with China • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Confirmed with sanctions recommended • 25%
Confirmed without sanctions • 25%
Unconfirmed • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%