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What will be the conscription age limit in Russia by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
27 • 25%
30 • 25%
35 • 25%
Other • 25%
Official decrees from the Russian government, verified news reports from credible sources such as Reuters, BBC, or AP
Story
Putin Orders 133,000 Conscripts Amid 650,000 Russian Casualties in Ukraine
Sep 30, 2024, 08:31 AM
As the war in Ukraine approaches its third anniversary, Russian casualties have exceeded 650,000, including 1,170 more soldiers recently and 1,250 soldiers along with 27 armoured combat vehicles in one day. President Vladimir Putin faces increasing pressure to deploy conscripts. In response, Putin has signed a decree for autumn conscription, ordering 133,000 citizens aged 18 to 30 to be drafted from October 1 to December 31. The Russian Defense Ministry has emphasized that these conscripts will not be sent to Ukraine. However, concerns remain about whether they will have to fight inside Russia. The conscription age has been raised from 27 to 30 as part of the new law.
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18 years • 25%
19-20 years • 25%
21-25 years • 25%
26 years or older • 25%
Less than 100,000 • 25%
100,000 to 120,000 • 25%
120,001 to 133,000 • 25%
More than 133,000 • 25%
Criminal defendants • 25%
Volunteers • 25%
Conscripts • 25%
Foreign mercenaries • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Lower draft age to 18 • 25%
Maintain current draft age • 25%
Increase draft age • 25%
Other policy changes • 25%
Increase age limit • 25%
Decrease age limit • 25%
Introduce exemptions • 25%
No change • 25%
Medical reasons • 25%
Educational deferment • 25%
Employment status • 25%
Other • 25%