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What will be the confirmed number of fatalities in the Azerbaijan Airlines crash by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 10 • 25%
10 to 20 • 25%
21 to 30 • 25%
More than 30 • 25%
Official reports or announcements from Azerbaijan Airlines or aviation authorities
Story
Azerbaijan Airlines Blames 'External Interference' for Kazakhstan Crash, Halts Flights to 10 Russian Cities
Dec 27, 2024, 12:54 PM
Azerbaijan Airlines announced that preliminary investigation results indicate that its Embraer aircraft, operating a flight from Baku to Grozny, which crashed near Aktau, Kazakhstan on Wednesday, experienced 'external physical and technical interference'. The crash resulted in fatalities. Following the incident, the airline has suspended flights to 10 Russian cities.
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Similar markets
6-10 • 25%
11-20 • 25%
21-30 • 25%
More than 30 • 25%
28 • 25%
More than 28 • 25%
Less than 28 • 25%
Other • 25%
Missile strike confirmed • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Other cause • 25%
External interference • 25%
Technical failure • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Other • 25%
Russian missile confirmed • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Other cause • 25%
23 or fewer • 25%
24 to 30 • 25%
31 to 40 • 25%
More than 40 • 25%
Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Shot down by Russian defenses • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
