Loading...
Market
What will be the coalition composition of the German government post-February 2025 elections?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
SPD-Green coalition • 25%
CDU/CSU-Green coalition • 25%
SPD-CDU/CSU coalition • 25%
Other coalition • 25%
Announcements from involved parties or German government
Story
Chancellor Olaf Scholz Requests Confidence Vote on December 11, 2024, Ahead of Snap Elections in February 2025
Dec 11, 2024, 08:50 AM
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz is set to submit a formal request for a vote of confidence in his government on December 11, 2024. This move is seen as a precursor to snap elections scheduled for February 2025. Following the confidence vote, the Bundestag will be dissolved, and Germany will have 60 days to conduct fresh elections. Scholz's tenure has been characterized by challenges, and this confidence vote marks a significant moment in his leadership, reminiscent of previous political crises in Germany. The Green Party faction is reportedly considering abstaining from the vote. The Bundestag will have a minimum consideration period of 48 hours before the vote takes place.
View original story
Similar markets
SPD-Greens-FDP • 25%
SPD-CDU-Greens • 25%
CDU-FDP-Greens • 25%
Other • 25%
Social Democrats-Greens • 25%
Conservatives-Greens • 25%
Grand Coalition (Social Democrats-Conservatives) • 25%
Other • 25%
SPD-Greens • 25%
CDU/CSU-FDP • 25%
SPD-CDU/CSU • 25%
Other • 25%
CDU/CSU and FDP • 25%
SPD and Greens • 25%
AfD and CDU/CSU • 25%
Other coalition • 25%
SPD-led coalition • 25%
CDU-led coalition • 25%
AfD-led coalition • 25%
Other coalition • 25%
CDU/CSU-led coalition • 25%
SPD-led coalition • 25%
AfD-led coalition • 25%
Other coalition • 25%
CDU/CSU-led • 25%
SPD-led • 25%
Greens-led • 25%
Other • 25%
CDU/CSU and SPD • 25%
CDU/CSU and Greens • 25%
SPD and Greens • 25%
Other coalition • 25%
Christian Democratic Union (CDU) wins majority • 25%
Social Democratic Party (SPD) wins majority • 25%
A coalition government forms • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No Change • 25%
New Coalition Formed • 25%
Snap Elections Called • 25%
Other • 25%
SPD-led coalition • 25%
CDU-led coalition • 25%
Green-led coalition • 25%
AfD-led coalition • 25%
CDU/CSU wins majority • 25%
SPD wins majority • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
Other coalition or party wins • 25%