Loading...
Market
What will be identified as the cause of the explosion at the Trans-Siberian Railway substation by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Equipment failure • 25%
Human error • 25%
Sabotage or terrorism • 25%
Other • 25%
Official report from the transport prosecutor’s office or relevant authorities
Story
Fire and Explosion Disrupts Trans-Siberian Railway in Mariinsk
Aug 19, 2024, 05:55 AM
A fire and explosion occurred at a traction substation on the Trans-Siberian Railway near Mariinsk in Russia's Kemerovo region. The incident, which took place on August 19, caused power outages in the town of Mariinsk and disrupted train traffic on the Krasnoyarsk Railway for two hours. The fire was extinguished by a fire train, and the transport prosecutor’s office is investigating the cause of the explosion.
View original story
Similar markets
Gas Cylinder Malfunction • 25%
Human Error • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Other • 25%
Software Issue • 25%
Hardware Failure • 25%
Human Error • 25%
Other • 25%
Gas cylinder explosion • 25%
Electrical fault • 25%
Intentional act (e.g., arson, terrorism) • 25%
Other • 25%
Electrical fault • 25%
Arson • 25%
Accidental fire • 25%
Other • 25%
Truck driver fault • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Track defect • 25%
Other • 25%
Safety violations confirmed • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
External sabotage • 25%
Other causes • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Drone strike • 25%
Accidental fire • 25%
Sabotage/Arson • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Accidental • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Russia • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Another state actor • 25%
Non-state actors • 25%